The Shock Doctrine: Milton Friedman's Legacy of Death and Destruction
Milton Friedman, Nobel Economics Prize winner, has left a trail of death and destruction wherever he, his students or admirers advised countries to implement his plan that involved privatization, government deregulation and deep social spending cuts. Advocating a free market economy, he thought that an unregulated market would maximize freedom and prosperity. Although he wrote a book in 1962, Capitalism and Freedom, he found no democratically elected government, including President Richard Nixon’s administration, would implement his program. The Keynesian model including a safety net, unions, workers protections and government spending helped the United States and other countries recover from the Great Depression and continue prosperity after the Second World War. Milton Friedman and his Chicago Boys (former students at the University of Chicago economics department) found that they could only persuade dictatorships or democracies in crisis to adopt his planned misery program.
Naomi Klein in The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism analyzes the Friedman program and its results. The Friedman program has a three part formula: 1) removing any regulations that inhibit business growth, 2) selling any public corporation that runs a profit, and, 3) making deep cuts in social spending. Taxes must be low and everyone (rich and poor) pays the same flat rate. Governments would make no effort to protect their industries or citizens. Market forces would set all prices. There would be no minimum wage nor any use for unions. Friedman offered health care, the post office, education, retirement pensions and national parks as privatization targets. In the United States, this would mean a completely reversing the New Deal.
She presented the universal ghastly results for countries forced into the Friedman program:
“…an urban bubble of frenetic speculation and dubious accounting fueling superprofits and frantic consumerism, ringed by ghostly factories and rotting infrastructure of a development past; roughly half the population excluded from the economy altogether; out-of-control corruption and cronyism; decimation of nationally owned small and medium-sized businesses; a huge transfer of wealth from public to private hands, followed by a huge transfer of private debts into public hands.”
Western governments and banks colluded with this pauperization. Our corporate media portrayed dissidents as reactionaries, old guard, Russians who preferred Stalin or Iraqis who preferred Saddam Hussein and did an excellent job shooting the messenger. The corporate media ignored the people who were being pauperized to enrich an elite. Western governments and banks gave virtually no assistance to countries recovering from dictatorships or Communist rule, unless they submitted to shock therapy. For example, Gorbachev was moving to a mixture of a free and socialist market with a strong safety net. All he got at the 1991 G7 meeting was a demand for shock treatment.
Chile’s Turn
Friedman found his first chance to remake an economy in the 1970s when he was an advisor to the Chilean dictator General Augusto Pinochet. More than 3,000 people were executed, at least 80,000 were imprisoned and 200,000 fled the country. Following this violent coup, a severe hyperinflation engulfed the country. Friedman’s formula – tax cuts, free trade, privatized services, social spending cuts and deregulation were supposed to bring prosperity. In 1974, Chile’s inflation rate was 375%, the highest in the world, almost twice as high as under the murdered President Salvador Allende. Hunger was rampant, unemployment reached record levels and free trade (cheap imports) demolished the economy. Seventy four percent of an average family’s income went to buy bread. People had to cut “luxury items” such as milk or a bus ride to work.
Free marketers still tout Chile’s experience as poster child evidence that Friedman’s prescriptions work. In fact, in 1982, nine years into strict conformity with Friedman’s measures, Chile had hyperinflation, 30% unemployment and a $14 billion debt. What saved Chile’s total collapse was that Pinochet never nationalized the state copper mine company.
By 1988, when the economy stabilized, 45% of the population was living in poverty. In 2007, The United Nations ranked income inequality in 123 nations. Chile ranked 116th, or the 8th most unequal nation on the list.
Bolivia’s Turn
In 1985, Bolivia’s debt exceeded its national income. A year earlier, President Reagan’s funding of an attack on coca farmers turned much of Bolivia into a military zone. The effort suppressed the coca trade and reduced about half of the country’s export revenues. Out going President Hugo Banzer called in unknown young economist Jeffrey Sachs to hammer out an anti-inflation program. The Keynesian solution to a severe recession is government spending to stimulate the economy. Keynesian or developmentalist economic tradition relies on popular support with sacrifice shared by all. Sachs, a Friedman admirer, implemented the shock doctrine which shifted all the social cost to the poor. He proposed raising oil prices tenfold eliminating food subsidies, junking price regulations and budget cuts.
The new president, Paz Estenssoro, had to impose a 90 state of siege with tanks patrolling the capital and a strict curfew to enact this program. Two years later, real wages were down 40%. Later, the real wages dropped by 70%. In 1985, the average per capita income was $845. By 1987, per capita income dropped to $789. There was supposed to be prosperity. Sachs still considers his recommendations as a success.
Russia’s Turn
When Russia was going through a transition out of Communism, there was no help from the West. All the Russians got were demands for shock therapy – budget cuts, eliminating prices controls on food items and privatization. The average Russian consumed 40% less in 1992 than in 1991. One-third of the people lived in poverty.
Boris Yeltsin imposed a state of emergency to impose a shock therapy that would make him, family members and some others very rich. President Bill Clinton and other Western leaders supported Yeltsin. The Western press dismissed Yeltsin’s opponents as “Communist hardliners”, ignoring that the same opponents in the Russian Parliament supported Yeltsin and Gorbachev coup attempt by true hardliners, voted to dissolve the Supreme Soviet and up until recently had supported Yeltsin.
Russians who would become oligarchs bought state industries for a song with public money. Instead of depositing funds that should have gone into the national bank or treasury, some of Yeltsin’s ministers transferred money into private banks that the future oligarchs had hastily formed.
By 1998, the shock treatment results were catastrophic. Eighty percent of Russian farms had gone bankrupt and roughly 70,000 state factories had closed, creating massive unemployment. In 1989, before the shock treatment, two million people in the Russian Federation lived in poverty, making less than $4 per day. By 1996, 74 million Russians lived in poverty. This programmed misery is made worse by the extravagance shown by Moscow’s elite that is equaled only in a few oil emirates.
Iraq’s Turn
America’s chief envoy, L. Paul Bremer, issued decrees that lowered Iraq’s corporate tax rate from roughly 45% to a flat 15% rate, allowed foreign companies to own 100% of Iraqi assets, required no reinvestment and extended criminal and civil immunity to all foreigners. He enforced mass privatization, free trade and downsized the government. President Bush talks about Iraq as being on the road to freedom in the face of corruption, torture, death squads, crime, nearly 5 million refugees and pervasive press censorship.
Argentina’s Turn
During Argentina’s junta rule, external debt soared from $7.9 billion to $45 billion. About $10 billion went to military purposes. Most non-military expenditures are unaccounted for. The World Bank $35 billion of the junta’s borrowed funds and discovered that $19 billion moved offshore. Swiss banks confirmed that much of the $19 billion wound up in their numbered accounts. Such corruption is commonplace in shock therapy.
Something New
I learned a few things in reading The Shock Doctrine. I discovered that non-recovery in New Orleans and Iraq are planned that way. Bush incompetent cronies’ goal is to enrich corporations, especially donors to Republican causes. Jeffrey Sachs who recommended shock therapy for Poland and Russia and Milton Friedman had no thought to but to help the rich and disenfranchise the poor. The same goes for the globalization promoters.
The solution will come from forming a debtors cartel and a substitute for the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. Well respected religious people, union members, farmers, teachers and scholars from the poor countries would serve on the board of directors. Some countries have stopped dealing with the IMF and World Bank. Nicaragua is leaving the IMF. Argentina and Venezuela have already left. In 2005, Latin America made up 80% of the IMF’s total lending portfolio. In 2007, the area represented just 1% - a remarkable change in just two years. The Latin America trend applies worldwide. Within three years, the IMF’s worldwide lending portfolio had shrunk from $81 billion to $11.8 billion, with almost all that going to Turkey.
When I started this article, I had the idea that this effort would delay writing a book about achieving war abolition. After a while, I realized that this article will be the basis of a chapter in the future book. The poverty inducing policies following by the IMF, the World Trade Organization and the World Bank guarantee violence and terrorist recruitment. American colonists turned to violent measures to counter far less grievous unfairness in 1775. May the new American president pursue a path following the United Nations Millennium Development Goals to eradicate abject poverty by 2015.
Main source:
Naomi Klein, The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism, Picador, Henry Holt and Company, 2007, 701 pages.
Ed O’Rourke is an environmental accountant in Houston, Texas.
www.eorourke.com
Ed Rourke, I have read this
Ed Rourke, I have read this book and it is a paradigm shifting read.
Because I lack a background in economics, it is hard for me to judge the value of her economic arguments and I think this has been a criticism of the book.
But, the book in many senses stands on its' own. And I think her Shock and Awe point, that shock can be inflicted physically, socially and economically, has more than a little truth to it.
It is clear to me that Friedmanism is a little more than a clear effort to shift massive wealth back into the hands of people who are very rich, what Paul Krugman calls the second gilded age. And while Friedman may not have set out to inflict such wholesale misery on people, he sure took all pains to not notice when it happened, and therefore took no serious pains to ask how his theory should be altered to prevent it in future applications.
Interestingly, if you sit back and watch government at work, whether it is local, state or federal, there is an implicit acceptance of the need to use the people's money--tax dollars--to promote the growth of business and there is an implicit acceptance that spending those same dollars to help individuals who are not making a living wage in this rabid environment is not worthwhile or acceptable. (_all_ of these needs are expected to be met through volunteerism.) It colors so much. Growing up in the 70's as we faced the real problems and limitations of the great society, there was a real impetus to promote accountability in government programs designed to help the poor. What is striking is the absolute absence of that same accountability for what some call corporate welfare.
It is my heartfelt believe that the real job of government when they are spending MY money--the tax dollars--is that a balance should be struck in helping individuals and business but ALL people who are recipients of tax dollars should be willing to be called to account. I truly do not mind paying taxes and seeing them equitably and responsibly used. But implicit in Friedman's ideas as they are implemented is a take over of profitable businesses, traditionally run by the government or with government oversight to assure uniform access. Klein meticulously points out how the profitable business and government entities in countries subjected to Shock Doctrine were methodically purchased for devaluated amounts by privated interests and then became dramatic profit centers for those purchasers, especially since there was no longer any price controls on how those (often) central resources were distributed.
As I understand Milton
As I understand Milton Friedman's economic plan, the principle is that Freedom = Prosperity. Freedom implies economic freedom and personal freedom. The corresponding prosperity is in direct correlation to the level of freedom. Implying that the more the government interferes with personal or economic freedom, then prosperity is reduced accordingly.
Friedman used Hong Kong as his prime example of what a free economy could do. Hong Kong is (was) phenomenally prosperous. While there was a significant amount of poverty, it is not clear to me whether or not this was because of the overwhelming amount of immigration. It is clear that enormous number of peoples tried to get IN to Hong Kong whereas an equally enormous number were trying to get OUT of China and North Korea.
I cannot comment on all the various countries itemized in Ed's article or in the book, but I can on a few of them.
Russia is certainly not a good example of applying Friedman's principle. Russia was never free, before or after communism. It is becoming more and more less free. Under Communist rule, Russia was a disaster. She could not even feed her own people. Remember that Russia is a country with enormous natural resources and fertile farmlands. After the fall of communism, Yeltsin, for example, was spectactulary unable to control corruption and the rise of the Russian Mafia.
I will not enter the morass of Iraq except to say that it is hard to believe that anyone thinks Iraq under Hussein was a better place to live in than it is now.
Another significant example of how freedom or lack of it can stifle economic prosperity is India. India is blessed with great natural resources and a population reknown for its intelligence and work ethic, yet it remained in extreme poverty for decades after "independence". The blame certainly belongs to the notorious attempt at central planning. To the extent that India has backed off from this government intrusion, prosperity, entrepeneurship and innovation have grown.
Numerous examples abound of government policies that have caused untold misery. Consider Haiti, Cuba, Venezuela, Zimbabwe (which used to be the bread basket of Africa and now cannot even feed itself) and North Korea.
My conclusion is that Friedman is not responsible for the woes of the world. Just the opposite. Whereever his policies have been implemented without government intervention, there has been a pronounced increase in prosperity for all involved.
This issue needs some
This issue needs some thought and research and I am loathe to judge before doing so, but, so as not to lose the ugency of timeliness, let me make a few comments.
I am familiar with Dr. Friedman's theories and some of their implementations, though certainly not all mentioned in Ed's commentary. Apparently, the METHOD of the implementation is not at question. Some of the examples were peaceful (e.g. Russia, sort of) and some were forcibly imposed, such as Iraq.
Instead the focus is on the effects of the implementation of Dr. Friedman's (and Friedrich Hayek's) theories. The questions that must be asked include:
1) Was it the theory or the implementation that failed?
2) Was it a failure? How is this measured? Was the situation worse before or after? Worse means? Measured by economic criteria or by a level of freedom?
3) Was the implementation conducted according to the theory or was some sort of partial attempt made?
4) Was the implementation corrupted? Humans have a way of doing this.
It seems to me, that before blaming the world's woes on Milton Friedman, more analysis is needed.
Enron, the S&L's, the
Enron, the S&L's, the mortgage banks...we're also living with the fallout of deregulation. I don;t understand economics and obviously you do, so I'm going to ask you a question that you may choose to answer. Twenty years ago Brazil's economy was in the tank. Now it has one of the strongest in the hemisphere. Are there lessons there we can apply to our downward slide? I'm really frightened.
Ed, it would seem that
Ed, it would seem that Friedman's economics is alive and well in the USA with variations on the same disastrous theme?
Ed, all of what you have reported here about Milton Friedman's economic policies is what the Bush Administration and his corporatist cronies has tried to put into law here in the United States. We are well on our way toward hyper-inflation, massive job losses, and a huge deficit, commonly suffered in the countries mentioned under Friedman's program.
Tax cuts for the wealthy is not like the Friedman program of a "flat rate" but unfairly distributes the tax cuts to the wealthiest. Could that be considered comparable to Friedman's program?
"Governments would make no effort to protect their industries or citizens." (We have NAFTA which does not protect our industries or citizens). It seems our government is following this Friedman procedure. There is lead paint on toys for babies to get poisoned and no regulations just like the Friedman program from what I can see here, and the outsourcing of jobs to cheap foreign labor.
"Market forces would set all prices." Aren't the prices being manipulated by the markets? Are there many Enron-type companies playing games to set unfair prices? It seems to me that the oil companies have created a deliberate short supply by not building new refineries in over 30 years in the US. When the demand is greater than the supply, the price increases, thus resulting in higher profits. The additional cost of oil is also due to the devaluation of the dollar internationally.
"There would be no minimum wage" This is a real poverty maker.
"nor any use for unions" - Unions have established the "prevailing wage" for what one should earn in the trades. Giving up unions means giving up a fair wage for workers and allowing companies to hire cheap and unskilled labor and putting our workers out of work and would create more poor and unsafe working conditions.
"Friedman offered health care, the post office, education, retirement pensions and national parks as privatization targets. In the United States, this would mean a complete reversing of the New Deal." If we completely reverse the New Deal, what will the affects be on our economy and the society? I can only guess. Disaster. More poverty and the rich getting richer.
The stats are not yet in for Naomi Klein's next book perhaps to be entitled The Rise and Fall of Disaster Capitalism in the USA, but a lot of people are already experiencing the affects of its poverty. I too hope that the next President will not follow this path of destruction.







Ed, for those of us who have
Ed, for those of us who have read "Shock Doctrine", Stephen Zunes article about America's role in Georgian conflict will have highly familiar themes. See his current article at Commondreams.org:
http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2008/08/15/11000/